Long term weather forecast for August 2022
In the Northern Federal District, the expected average temperature in August is +12…+16 °С, which is within the normal range, in some places it may be somewhat warmer than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 60-90 mm, which is close to the norm, in the Murmansk region an excess of moisture is likely.
In the first days of the month without precipitation, the temperature during the day is +23 … +28 ° С . By the end of the first decade, there will be short rains and cool air, in the afternoon +11 … +16 ° С.
In the middle of the month, cool weather will continue with short-term rains, the prevailing temperature during the day is +13 … +18 degrees. By the beginning of the third ten-day period, there will be short-term rains, during the day the maximum temperature will be +17 … +22 ° С, in the Vologda region up to +26 ° С. In Murmansk region during the day +14…+19 degrees. August will end with moderately warm weather with short-term rains, the prevailing daytime temperature is +19…+24°С, in Murmansk region +15…+20 degrees.
Last year's August in Arkhangelsk turned out to be close to the average long-term values in terms of the temperature regime. The average monthly temperature was +14.1°C. On the morning of the 6th, the temperature dropped to + 2.2 degrees, which became a daily record. In the first and second decades, the prevailing daily temperature is +19…+24 degrees. And only closer to the end of the month it was cool; S. Precipitation was less than usual.
In Central Chernozem regionthe estimated average monthly temperature is +20…+21 °C, which is somewhat warmer than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 30-40 mm, which is less than the climatic norm.
In early August, short-term thunderstorms: temperature at night +11…+16 °С, in the daytime +20…+25 °C. By the end of the first decade without precipitation, at night +12…+17 °С, in the daytime +24…+29 °С. At the beginning of the second ten-day period, the maximum temperature is +27 … +32 degrees, significant precipitation is not expected.
By the middle of the month there will be heavy rains and thunderstorms: at night +9…+14 °C, in the daytime +18…+23 °C. At at the end of the second ten-day period, intermittent rain in places, and it will become warmer: in the afternoon +21…+26°С. Most of the third ten-day period will be dominated by warm weather with day temperature +23…+28°C, local short-term thunderstorms are likely in the last days of the month.
The hottest August was in 2010 year. The average monthly temperature in Voronezh reached +25.5°C, which is 7°C higher than usual. 2 August, the air heated up to +40.5°C, which became a monthly record. In the first decade, heat records were set on all days, which was also observed for the first time. Last year's August became very warm and dry, the average monthly temperature exceeded the norm by 4 degrees, and only 10 mm of precipitation fell. On 19 August afternoon, the air warmed up to +36 degrees.
In Volga-Vyatka region and on Middle Volgathe expected average temperature of the month is +18…+19 °C, which is somewhat warmer than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 30-50 mm, which is less than the norm.
In the first days of the month, warm and dry weather is expected, during the day the maximum temperature is +24 … +29 ° С, in places up to + 32 degrees. To the end of the first ten-day period, in some places intermittent rain and thunderstorm, in the afternoon the maximum temperature is +21…+26 degrees.
In the middle of the month it will be cloudy with clearings, it will rain, in some places with thunderstorms, the prevailing daytime temperature is +17…+22 °С. By the end of the second decade without significant precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature is +19 … +24 ° C. For most of the third decade, warm and dry weather is expected, the prevailing daytime temperature is +22 … ;Some days, 30-degree heat is not excluded.
Last year's August was the second hottest and driest after 2010 in Samara. The average monthly temperature reached +25.2 degrees, which is 5.3 degrees higher than usual. Precipitation was only 3 mm. On August 20, the air warmed up to + 39.2 degrees, which was a record for the second decade. The record of the month belongs to 2010: on August 2, the maximum temperature reached +39.9 °C.
On Lower Volga expected average temperature of the month +23…+25 °С, which is somewhat warmer than the norm. Estimated rainfall is 10-20 mm, which is less than usual.
In the first days of the month, hot and dry weather is expected, the temperature during the day will be +29 … +34 ° С. in places up to +37 °С. By the beginning of the second decade, local thunderstorms are expected, during the day the maximum temperature is +28…+33 degrees.
In the middle of the month, in some places there will be short-term rains with thunderstorms, the temperature during the day will be +23 … + 28 degrees, in the Astrakhan region up to +30 degrees Celsius. In the third decade, dry and hot weather is expected to predominate, the daytime temperature is +27…+32 degrees, in some days the air will warm up to +36 degrees.
On in the south of the ETR, the expected average temperature in August is +23 … +25 ° С, which is close to the norm, in some places it can be a degree higher than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 30-50 mm, which is within the limits of average long-term values, moisture deficiency is likely in the Rostov region.
At the beginning of the month, dry and hot weather is expected, the temperature during the day will be +28…+33 °C. By the middle of the first decade, showers with thunderstorms will pass in places, hail is not ruled out in places, daytime temperatures will be +26 … +31 ° С. At the end of the first ten days without significant precipitation, in the afternoon +29…+34 °С.
By the middle of the month, short-term thunderstorms are again not excluded, the daytime temperature is +24 … +29 degrees. At the end of the second decade without precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature is +27 … +32 ° C. The third decade will please mostly dry and hot weather, the prevailing daytime temperature is +28 … + 33 degrees. Only in the last days of the month will there be short-term thunderstorms in places.
The coldest August was observed in the resort of Sochi in 1984. The average monthly temperature was more than 2 degrees lower than usual. There was practically no heat, throughout the entire month the temperature was within +21 … +26 degrees, it often rained, sometimes heavy. In 2010, August, on the contrary, was dry and hot, the average temperature exceeded the norm by almost 4 degrees, on August 7th the air warmed up to +36.1 degrees, setting a record for the first decade.
The driest August was in 2006 year, when only 2 mm precipitations fell during the whole month, on 27 August the maximum temperature reached +36.3 degrees, setting a record for the third decade of the month. The average monthly temperature exceeded the norm by 3 degrees +38.5 °C. Last year's month average temperature was close to usual, rainfall was abundant. 2 periods of hot weather were observed: in the middle of the first decade and in the last days of August with maximum temperature up to +30…+34 degrees.
< strong>In Crimeathe expected average temperature in August is +22…+24 °С, which is close to the norm. The expected amount of precipitation is 30-40 mm, which is less than usual.
In the beginning of the month it is dry and hot, in the daytime +27…+32 °С. By the middle of the first decade, there will be heavy rains with thunderstorms, +25 … + 30 degrees in the afternoon. At the end of the first decade without precipitation, daily temperature +29…+34 °C.
In the middle of the month, short-term thunderstorms are again likely, in the afternoon + 23 … + 28 degrees. By the end of the second decade without precipitation, in the afternoon +26 … + 31 ° С In the third decade, dry weather is expected, in the afternoon +28 … + 33 degrees, by the end of the month, short-term thunderstorms are not excluded in places rain and weakening of heat by 2-3 degrees.
The hottest and driest month was August 2010. The average monthly temperature in Simferopol was +25.8 degrees, which is almost 5 degrees above the norm. Precipitation was only 2mm. 8 August, the maximum temperature reached +39.5 degrees, setting a record for the month. Last year's August was warmer than usual by 1-2 degrees. It didn't go without intense downpours and thunderstorms, so on August 10 the monthly norm of precipitation — 46 mm. Heavy thunderstorms passed on August 19, it fell from 25 to 30 mm. 29 August was the hottest day in August, during the day the air warmed up to +36.8 degrees, which became a daily record.< /p>
In Uralsthe expected average monthly temperature is +17…+22 °C, which is a degree above the norm. The expected amount of precipitation is 15-70 mm, which is somewhat less than the average multi-year values.
In the first decade hot and dry weather will prevail, during the day +26…+31°C, in Southern Urals up to +35 degrees. By the middle of the month there will be heavy rains with thunderstorms and it will become cooler, in the afternoon +15…+20°C, in Southern Urals up to +26 °C. In the third ten-day period, alternation of warm and cool days is expected, short-term rains will pass. No significant precipitation is expected in the Southern Urals, the prevailing temperature during the day is +24 … +29 degrees.
August 2016 was the hottest in Yekaterinburg. The average monthly temperature reached +23°C, which is 7.1°C higher than normal. Especially strong heat was in the middle of the month, on August 16, the air warmed up to +35.1 degrees, which was a record for the second decade. Precipitation fell significantly less than usual. Last year's August was warmer than usual by 4 degrees, rainfall — close to normal. Surprisingly, the monthly rainfall rate of about 70 mm poured out on one day on August 6, and there was practically no rainfall afterwards. Abnormal heat was in the first half of the third decade, on August 23, the maximum temperature reached +35.8 degrees, which was a record for the third decade. And only at the end of the month it was cool, the daytime temperature did not exceed +14 degrees
In south of Western Siberia the estimated average monthly temperature is +15 …+17 °C, which is a degree below the norm. Precipitation is expected to be 35-70 mm, which is less than usual, and excess moisture is likely in the east of the region.
In the first days of the month, intermittent rain, in places a thunderstorm, the prevailing daytime temperature is +21 … +26 ° С. By the end of the first decade it is cool, in some places intermittent rain, during the day the maximum temperature is +15…+20 degrees
In the middle of August without precipitation, in the afternoon the maximum temperature is +25…+30 °C. By the beginning of the third ten-day period, there will be short-term thunderstorms, +13 … + 18 degrees in the afternoon. Toward the end of the month, significant precipitation is not expected, in the afternoon the air will warm up to +19…+24°C, in Omsk Region up to +26 degrees.
August was very warm in Novosibirsk in 1998 year. The average monthly temperature was +19.2 degrees, which is 3.3 degrees higher than usual. The 15th became the hottest day of August, the maximum temperature reached +35.7 degrees in the afternoon Last year's August was somewhat warmer than usual, precipitation fell within the multi-year norm. The third decade of the month turned out to be very warm and dry, on August 26 the air warmed up to +28.9 degrees, which became a daily record.
In the south of Eastern Siberia expected average monthly temperature +15…+16 °C, which is somewhat cooler than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 60-120 mm, which is within the average long-term values, excess moisture is likely in the Irkutsk region.
In the first days of the month it is dry and hot, the temperature during the day is +27…+32 degrees. By the beginning of the second decade, showers with thunderstorms will pass, during the day the maximum temperature will be +13 … +18 ° С.
Warming is expected by the middle of the month, significant precipitation is not expected, the maximum daytime temperature is +19 … +24 °C. At the end of the second decade, in some places, intermittent rain with a thunderstorm, during the day the air warms up to +22 … +27 degrees, in the Irkutsk region it is cooler by 3-5 degrees. By the beginning of the third decade, intermittent rains, in the Irkutsk region in places heavy, +12 … + 17 ° C in the daytime. The month will end with dry weather, daytime temperature +18 … + 23 degrees.
In the south of the Far East region the expected average temperature in August is +19…+20 °С, which is within the normal range. The expected amount of precipitation is 80-120 mm, which is somewhat less than the long-term average.
In the first decade, rains and thunderstorms are not uncommon, during the day temperature fluctuations from +24 … + 29 ° С to + 18 … + 23 ° С. By the middle of the month, dry and warm weather will set in, in the afternoon from 23 to 28 degrees. In the third decade, some days there will be short-term thunderstorms, +25…+30 degrees in the daytime, by the end of the month it will become cooler: daily temperature +19…+24 °С.
In the Kaliningrad region (Kaliningrad)the expected average temperature is +18…+19 degrees, which is normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 100-120 mm, which is slightly more than usual.
In the first days of the month without significant precipitation, in the afternoon the maximum temperature is +24 … +29 ° С. By the middle of the first decade, short-term thunderstorms, daytime temperatures from 22 to 27 degrees of heat. At the end of the first ten days without precipitation, in the afternoon +23…+28 °С.
By the middle of the month there will be intermittent rains, daytime temperature +17…+22 °C. At the end of the second decade, intermittent rains, sometimes thunderstorms and gusty winds, during the day the maximum temperature is +20 … +25 degrees. Warm and dry weather is expected by the beginning of the third ten-day period, during the day the maximum temperature is +22 … +27 ° С. ..+24 degrees.
August last year was cool and rainy. The average monthly temperature was +16.4°C, which is 1.7°C lower than usual. Precipitation has fallen in abundance. Only on August 15, the day turned out to be hot in summer, during the day the air warmed up to + 29 degrees. In the second half of the month, cool weather prevailed with daytime temperatures of +15…+20 degrees; Petersburg the estimated average temperature in August is +17…+18 °C, which is slightly above the norm. Precipitation is expected to be 60-80mm, which is close to normal.
At the beginning of the month without precipitation, the temperature during the day is +23…+28 °C. By the end of the first ten days, there will be short-term thunderstorms, during the day the maximum temperature will be +16…+21 °C.
Unstable weather will continue in mid-August with short-term thunderstorms in the daytime +15…+ 20 °C. By the beginning of the third ten-day period, partly cloudy, in some places intermittent rain, a thunderstorm is possible, daytime temperature is +21 … +26 ° С.
In the middle of the third decade, partly cloudy weather without precipitation, daytime temperature +17 … + 22 degrees are expected. August will end with warm, but unstable weather with short-term rains: during the day the maximum temperature is +20…+25 °С.
Last year's August, in terms of the temperature regime, was close to normal, but there was an excess of precipitation. The average monthly temperature was +16.9 degrees, rainfall — 135 mm. Almost a monthly norm fell in the first days of August. The warmest day was recorded on 17 August, when the air warmed up to +25.8 degrees.
In Moscow and Moscow regionthe estimated average monthly temperature is +18…+19 °C, which is a degree higher than normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 55-65 mm, which is somewhat less than usual.
At the beginning of August without precipitation: daytime temperature +24…+29 °С. By the middle of the first decade, thunderstorms will pass: + 22 … + 27 degrees in the afternoon. At the end of the first decade, intermittent rain in places, the maximum daytime temperature is +19 … +24 ° С.
By the middle of the month it will be cloudy with clearings, it will rain and it will be cool, the daytime temperature will be +14. ..+19 °С. At the end of the second ten-day period without precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature is +21 … +26 ° С. By the beginning of the third decade, dry and warm weather is expected, the maximum temperature during the day is +23 … +28 ° С.
+20…+25 °C. August will end with dry and warm weather, the maximum daytime temperature is +22…+27 °C.
Last year's August was warm and wet. The average monthly temperature was +19.5°C, which is 1.9°C higher than usual. The hottest days were marked on August 17 and 18, when the thermometer rose above +30 degrees. Precipitation fell 110 mm. or almost one and a half times more than the climatic norm.
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